Looking back of some older predictions that I made before,
most of them surely didn’t come true, but some did. It is not really for
another one reference, but for my leisure at a later time with a time stamp.
Here are mine for 2014 with no particular order:
No iTV from Apple – Apple probably has prototypes for few
years, but it won’t release this product until it can get a breakthrough from
negotiation with the content providers. I doubt Tim Cook will ever be able to
achieve that as long as he runs the company, though he is a terrific successor
of late Steve Jobs. So, no iTV for this year is for sure.
iWatch will be released in 2H – it will be an important
product for Apple, it will be called iWatch, though time-telling is only 1% of
its functions. Just like iPhone doesn’t treat calling as its core function. For
my further thoughts on this product, please see my earlier post.
Sandra Bullock or Cate Blanche will win the best actress
at Academy Award – I rarely go movie these days and Gravity is few of them that
I saw this year. Sandra is doing a great job in that movie and I’m sure she
will be nominated. I didn’t see Woody Allen’s movie, but Cate has been an
actress that I like for years. Well, this prediction is just a prediction that
won’t do no harm.
Japan and China will have a minor military encounter in mid
this year – with the build-up, the misunderstanding and the gung-ho of young
bloods on both sides. It’s gonna happen, though it won’t be a war but it will
surely affect the economy of both sides in a short run. Time for someone to
make money in the market.
Miami Heat will go 3peat in Jun – I like many other teams,
like Rocket, Pacer, Clippers, etc, but nobody gonna beat an experienced,
well-oiled, healthy, superstar-studded team with Lebron at his prime.
Thai King, Fidel Castro, die – with Mandela and Margaret
Thatcher gone this year, there are only few old rulers left alive, this
prediction is by no mean against the supporters of these people with utmost
respect, but people get old and heaven time does come. I don’t know if it will
come true, but famous old people die every year and 2014 won’t be an exception.
Russia will extend Edward Snowden’s visa for another year –
Putin has not figured out what to do with him yet, so just to annoy Obama,
Snowden will stay for another year.
Brazil will win World Cup this year – can’t beat a great
home team.
North Korea will try to loosen its tie with China – the
alternative will be approaching the U.S. and try to mimic what Pakistan or
Burma have done.
Curved glass smartphones will bomb – a technical
breakthrough doesn’t translate to commercial success, a simple dumb idea to
meet non-existing need.
That's all for 2013, happy new year 2014!